FIVE-YEAR REGIONAL OUTLOOKS LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
Date of Publication
1-1-2023 12:00 AM
Security Theme
Migration
Keywords
Global Trends, challenges, political successors, migration
Description
The potential for rising social and political volatility in Latin America and the Caribbean during the next five years will threaten democratic values and provide openings for outside actors. Climate-driven food and water insecurity, slow economic recoveries, and violence are likely to sustain steady migratory flows to the United States. Inequality in Latin America and the Caribbean and serious challenges to governments’ abilities to meet popular demand for improved economic opportunities are likely to set the stage for growing political polarization, public protests, and declining faith in democratic governance. Authoritarian leaders in Cuba, Nicaragua, and Venezuela will continue to rely on repression to maintain control, and potential political successors probably will come from dominant parties rather than the opposition.
FIVE-YEAR REGIONAL OUTLOOKS LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
The potential for rising social and political volatility in Latin America and the Caribbean during the next five years will threaten democratic values and provide openings for outside actors. Climate-driven food and water insecurity, slow economic recoveries, and violence are likely to sustain steady migratory flows to the United States. Inequality in Latin America and the Caribbean and serious challenges to governments’ abilities to meet popular demand for improved economic opportunities are likely to set the stage for growing political polarization, public protests, and declining faith in democratic governance. Authoritarian leaders in Cuba, Nicaragua, and Venezuela will continue to rely on repression to maintain control, and potential political successors probably will come from dominant parties rather than the opposition.