Document Type

Thesis

Degree

Master of Science (MS)

Department

Statistics

First Advisor's Name

Sneh Gulati

First Advisor's Committee Title

Committee Chair

Second Advisor's Name

B.M. Golam Kibria

Second Advisor's Committee Title

Co-Committee Chair

Third Advisor's Name

Shahid S. Hamid

Keywords

Hurricane model, Distribution fit, Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model

Date of Defense

3-20-2014

Abstract

The FPHLM is the only open public hurricane loss evaluation model available for assessment of hazard to insured residential property from hurricanes in Florida. The model consists of three independent components: the atmospheric science component, the vulnerability component and the actuarial component. The atmospheric component simulates thousands of storms, their wind speeds and their decay once on land on the basis of historical hurricane statistics defining wind risk for all residential zip codes in Florida.

The focus of the thesis was to analyze atmospheric science component of the Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model, replicate statistical procedures used to model various parameters of atmospheric science component and to validate the model. I establish the distribution for modeling annual hurricane occurrence, choose the best fitting distribution for the radius of maximum winds and compute the expression for the pressure profile parameter Holland B.

Identifier

FI14040863

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