Document Type

Thesis

Degree

Master of Science (MS)

Department

Statistics

Advisor's Name

Jie Mi

Advisor's Title

Committee Chair

Advisor's Name

Kai Huang

Advisor's Name

Florence George

Keywords

Group Test, Bayes Estimator, Beta Distribution, MLE, MSE.

Date of Defense

11-9-2012

Abstract

Group testing has long been considered as a safe and sensible relative to one-at-a-time testing in applications where the prevalence rate p is small. In this thesis, we applied Bayes approach to estimate p using Beta-type prior distribution. First, we showed two Bayes estimators of p from prior on p derived from two different loss functions. Second, we presented two more Bayes estimators of p from prior on π according to two loss functions. We also displayed credible and HPD interval for p. In addition, we did intensive numerical studies. All results showed that the Bayes estimator was preferred over the usual maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for small p. We also presented the optimal β for different p, m, and k.



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